Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Market update Fed report day today


MBS  +7/32@ 102.29   10 Yr Treasury +3/32 @ 2.4910     Dow +6@ 15,687

 

MBS have moved higher ahead of the release of the Fed statement this afternoon. September CPI rose 0.2% from August, matching the consensus, and it was just 1.2% higher than one year ago. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.1%, slightly below the consensus. Core CPI was 1.7% higher than one year ago. Like the PPI report yesterday, today's CPI data shows that inflation remains well below the Fed's target level of 2.0%. The ADP Employment forecast for private sector job gains in October came in at 130K, below the consensus of 140K. The monthly Employment report, originally scheduled for Friday, will be delayed until November 8 due to the government shutdown. No more economic data will be released today. The Fed statement will be released around 2:00 et. Investors will be looking for indications about the economic conditions which would cause the Fed to begin to taper. The results from the 7-yr Treasury auction will come out around 1:00 et.

 

Treasuries
30-Oct-13
Last
Change
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
0.01%
0.00%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
0.03%
-0.01%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/uparrow.gif
0.10%
0.00%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
0.31%
0.00%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
0.57%
0.00%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/uparrow.gif
1.28%
0.01%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
2.50%
-0.01%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
3.61%
0.00%

 
 
 
Major Indices
30-Oct-13
Last
Change
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
0.941%
-0.015%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
0.168%
0.000%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/uparrow.gif
0.356%
0.001%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
0.604%
-0.001%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
0.144%
-0.005%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
3.25%
0.00%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
0.25%
0.00%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/noarrow.gif
0.75%
0.00%

 
 
 
 
Mortgage Rates
 
30-Oct-13
Last
Change
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
3.24%
-0.09%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
4.13%
-0.15%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
2.60%
-0.03%
https://www.thefinancials.com/s_images/downarrow.gif
3.00%
-0.07%

 


 


 APOR (Changes Mondays)

30 Yr Fixed-  4.20%

15 Yr Fixed- 3.33%

5/1 ARM -      2.93%

7/1 ARM   -    3.23%

10/1-ARM -  3.74%

 

Economic Calendar

Event
Actual
Cons.
Previous
Oct 28
0.6%
0.4%
0.4%
78.3%
78.0%
77.9%Revised from 77.8%
-5.6%
0.1%
-1.6%
-1.2%
5.8%
3.6
12.8
0.07%
0.035%
0.348%
Oct 29
0.2%
0.3%
0.6%
1.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1.2%
1.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.1%
-1.5%
2.9%
12.5%
12.4%
0.3%
0.4%
75.3
79.7
0.03%
1.436%
$-147.9B
Oct 30
-0.6%
150K
166K
0.2%
0.1%
1.2%
1.5%
234.7
234.0
0.2%
0.1%
1.8%
1.8%
234.22
233.88
5.246M
2.058%
0.25%
0.25%
$45
$45B
$40
$40B
Oct 31
340K
350K
2.865M
2.874M
55.0
55.7
87B
Nov 01
52.8
55.0
56.5
55.5
56.2
15.45M
15.21M
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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