Monday’s bond market has opened in positive territory, erasing Friday’s
afternoon selling. The stock markets are starting the week calm with the
Dow up 8 points and the Nasdaq up 2 points. The bond market is currently
up 8/32, but due to weakness in bonds late Friday, we will likely see
little change in this morning’s mortgage rates if comparing to Friday’s
morning pricing.
The Commerce Department posted two months of Factory Orders data late
this morning. They announced that new orders for durable and non-durable
goods at U.S. factories fell 0.1% in August and rose 1.7% in September.
August’s decline was weaker than expected but September’s increase was
very close to forecasts, indicating no major surprises in the
manufacturing sector. Since this data is only moderately important, these
results have had little impact on this morning’s bond trading and
mortgage rates.
There is nothing of relevance scheduled for release tomorrow in terms of
economic data. The rest of the week has six more reports scheduled to be
posted that have the potential or likelihood of affecting mortgage rates.
The most important data is scheduled later in the week, but we should
still see some movement in pricing between now and then. Worth noting is
an abundance of speeches from Fed members scheduled this week, many of
which are due to take place during afternoon hours and have topics that
include economic growth and monetary policy. That significantly raises
the possibility that we will get intra-day revisions to mortgage rates
multiple days.
Overall, Thursday starts the big news for the week with the preliminary
reading of the 3rd Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to be followed by
October’s Employment report Friday morning. Tomorrow appears to be the
best candidate for lightest day with nothing scheduled, but we should
still be alert every day for unexpected news or swings in trading that
could cause mortgage rates to jump and proceed cautiously if still
floating an interest rate and closing in the near future.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if
my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was
taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place
between 21 and 60 days... Lock if my closing was taking place over 60
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