Friday, November 29, 2013

Daily market commentary


Greetings! Here's your Daily Commentary report compliments of
Alan Russell & Princeton Capital!
Call me today for current rates and market information at (650) 947-2296.
 
 
 
 




Friday’s bond market has opened in negative territory as Wednesday’s selling extends into today’s trading. The stock markets are in positive ground with the Dow up 51 points and the Nasdaq up 14 points. The bond market is currently down 7/32, which with Wednesday’s afternoon weakness should equate to an increase in this morning’s mortgage rates of approximately .250 of a discount point if comparing to Wednesday’s morning pricing.

Contributing to the weakness late Wednesday was a pretty soft 7-year Treasury Note auction. After most of the day’s economic data gave us unfavorable results, news broke about the lackluster interest in the sale just as many traders were wrapping up their day ahead of the holiday. That led to further weakness and many lenders revising their pricing higher by the end of the day.

That selling, along with today’s early weakness, has pushed the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury Note back up to 2.75%. It is worth noting again that 2.70% appears to be a floor of support. It again dropped below 2.70% briefly this week, only to move back up to its current level. The fact that 2.70% is a pretty strong resistance level leads me to believe we are much more likely to see it move up closer towards 2.90% in the immediate future than below 2.70%. And since mortgage rates tend to follow bond yields, this would be bad news for mortgage shoppers.

The financial and mortgage markets were closed yesterday for the Thanksgiving Day holiday. Today is also somewhat of a holiday with the many traders still home, meaning we are seeing very light or thin trading this morning. The stock markets are expected to close at 1:00 PM ET today while the bond market is set to close at 2:00 PM ET. With thin trading and an early closing, I am not expecting too much to happen the rest of the day in the mortgage market.

Next week brings us plenty of economic data with the preliminary schedule showing 10 reports that we traditionally follow. Not all of those reports are worth stressing about, but two of them are considered to be extremely important to the financial and mortgage markets. One of them comes late Monday morning when the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) posts their manufacturing index for November that tracks business condition sentiment in the sector. Look for details on all of the week’s activities in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Lock if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now...
 
 
 
Alan Russell
161 South San Antonio Rd. | Los Altos, CA 95022
Ph: 650-947-2296 | Fax: 408-335-1118
alanrussell@princetoncap.com

 

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