Thursday’s bond market has opened in positive territory again after today’s
only economic data failed to cause alarm. The stocks markets have opened
flat, helping to keep bonds in positive ground during early trading. The
Dow is currently down 7 points while the Nasdaq is up 2 points. The bond
market is currently up 6/32, which should improve this morning’s mortgage
rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
Part of this morning’s improvement in mortgage pricing is a result of
strength in bonds late yesterday. The 10-year Treasury Note auction went
pretty well, leading to afternoon improvements in bond prices. Some
lenders may have revised rates slightly lower late yesterday, so if yours
did issue an intra-day revision, you likely will see a smaller
improvement in this morning’s rates than those who opted to wait until today
to reflect those gains.
The Labor Department announced early this morning that 333,000 new claims
for unemployment benefits were filed last week, up from the previous
week’s revised total of 328,000. The rise in initial claims is considered
good news for the bond market since it hints at a softening employment
sector. However, this is only a single week’s worth of new claims and
analysts were actually expecting to see 340,000, meaning the number
showed slightly stronger than forecasted results. The net impact on this
morning’s bond trading and mortgage rates has been minimal though.
We have the 30-year Bond auction to watch for later today. Since
yesterday’s 10-year Note sale went well, we remain optimistic about
today’s auction as it is also for long-term securities. If investor
demand was high, we could see bonds move higher later today. Results will
be posted at 1:00 PM ET, so any reaction will come during early afternoon
trading.
Tomorrow has nothing of relevance scheduled. There is no reason to believe
we will see anything drastic happen in the financial and mortgage markets
as traders head into the weekend. It should be another calm day for
mortgage rates. Next week has plenty of economic data scheduled that is
relevant to the bond and mortgage markets, so we can expect to see plenty
of movement in rates then.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if
my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was
taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place
between 21 and 60 days... Lock if my closing was taking place over 60
days from now...
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