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Need to Know
AUGUST 23, 2013
6 gut checks before the stock
market's opening bell
By Shawn Langlois
Good
morning.
With any luck, some squirrel will hook us up with another
Nasdaq malfunction today. Not only did Thursday's shutdown trigger a convivial atmosphere across
cyberspace, but stocks actually finished nicely higher, to stick a fork in
a pretty dismal stretch.
For those of you still bemoaning Nasdaq-ageddon, get a little perspective.
Computers crash, people die, and Madonna was always going to end up looking like this . That's life. Accept
it. I doubt the buy-and-hold masses even noticed. After all, $1 invested in
1824 is now worth almost $5 million
-- though that whole "people die" thing might get in
the way.
The drama is over for now, and today is looking like what one might expect
from a late-summer Friday. So we're left to focus on Jackson Hole and
housing numbers.
Key market gauges: The Nikkei rallied more than 2% to
pace a mostly upbeat showing in Asia . Europe has turned higher, while
futures on the Dow and the S&P are also just barely in the
black.
The economy: We'll catch a glimpse of how well the
housing market is holding up during these recent gains in mortgage rates
when the government posts new-home-sales numbers at 10 a.m. Eastern.
Economists are expecting the number to have fallen to a seasonally adjusted
rate of 485,000 in July, from a rate of 497,000 in June. If new-home sales
did reach a rate of 485,000 in July, they'd be up 31% from the year-earlier
period. Read: Spotlight on the economy .
The buzz: The Jackson Hole boondoggle kicks off tonight,
and while some of the biggest names won't be in attendance, there's
still an agenda packed with a "who's who"
assortment of economic-power brokers. When these types get
together, there's bound to be a headline or two. And a few nap takers. The
party really gets going on Friday morning, during the
whimsical "Natural Rate of Interest, Financial Crises and the
Zero Lower Bound" session. Check out our streaming coverage .
Dismal outlooks from Pandora and Aeropostale have shares of
both companies deep in the red, premarket. Same thing with Autodesk .
Needless to say, the Nasdaq OMX Group ticker saw a spike in comments
on StockTwits in the past 24 hours. The stock closed down 3.5%. Bank of
America , Organovo and Aruba Networks are also trending.
The chart of the day: Joe Weisenthal might just be using
some of that Business Insider hyperbole that we all find so adorable. Or he
might be on to something when he says "this chart might just be everything."
It shows the increase in U.S. interest rates vs. an index of the dollar vs.
emerging market currencies. Weisenthal says there are plenty of stories to
glean from this simple illustration. One of them is that the rising
interest rates are pulling money out of emerging markets and slamming their
currencies. Another is that the "economic pendulum" is swinging
to the U.S. and Europe and away from emerging markets. "Either way,
this is the dominant story in markets these days, and the world is watching
both lines," he wrote.
The
call of the day: After a smashing 30% rally to
start the year, the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF has given it all back.
And J.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog says it's
time to short Ho Chi Minh . "With a lot of the Asia Pacific
stocks taking a beating lately, I wouldn't be surprised if this was the
next one to get hit hard," he wrote. Parets said the July lows of
around $18 were tested four times this week before it finally broke down.
"Vietnam should stay under pressure," he said.
Random
reads: Detroit unleashes the hounds . About 50,000 of
them.
The Nasdaq's halt was a small price to pay for video goodness like this .
Goldman Sachs banker arrested for rape . Not the financial kind.
If this law were enacted in California, I'd
be bankrupt by the end of the month.
Ben Affleck is tapped as the new Batman . And the world stands
still.
You read for a part, you feel good about it, you feel confident, then they
cast Ben Affleck.
— Richard Dreyfuss (@RichardDreyfuss) August 23, 2013
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