Wednesday’s bond market has opened in positive territory with stocks well
in negative ground during early trading. The Dow is currently down 73
points while the Nasdaq has lost 27 points. The bond market is currently up
7/32, which should improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately
.125 of a discount point.
There is no relevant economic data being posted this morning, so expect to
see a relatively calm morning for bond trading and mortgage rates. However,
we could see some movement this afternoon when the first of this week’s two
important Treasury auctions wrap up. The 10-year Note auction is taking
place today while 30-year Bonds will be sold tomorrow. If the sales are met
with a lackluster interest from investors- particularly international
buyers, the bond market may move lower after the results are posted and
mortgage rates may move higher. On the other hand, a strong demand in the
securities should lead to a broader bond market rally and lower mortgage
rates during afternoon trading. Results of each sale will be announced at
1:00 PM, so any reaction will be come during early afternoon hours today
and/or tomorrow.
The only thing of interest tomorrow besides the 30-year Bond auction is the
weekly unemployment update from the Labor Department. They are expected to
announce that 340,000 new claims for unemployment benefits were filed last
week, up from the previous week’s 326,000. This is usually not an important
report because it tracks only a single week’s worth of initial claims.
However, with little economic news scheduled this week, this one stands out
a little more than usual. Increasing new claims for unemployment benefits
is a sign of a weakening employment sector. Therefore, the larger the
number of new claims we see tomorrow, the better the news it is for the
bond market and mortgage pricing.
There isn’t anything of importance scheduled for release Friday either, so
look for stock gains or losses to influence bond trading and mortgage
rates. There is no reason to believe that we will see a significant move
upward or downward in rates as we head into the weekend. Next week has
plenty of economic data scheduled that is relevant to the bond and mortgage
markets, so the calmness of this week should be welcomed news for mortgage
shoppers and industry professionals.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my
closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking
place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between
21 and 60 days... Lock if my closing was taking place over 60 days from
now...
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