Need to Know
AUGUST 09, 2013
6 gut checks before the stock
market opens
By Barbara Kollmeyer
Good
morning.
As 'Shark Week' comes to a bloody close, it's
only appropriate to start talking about another predatory species: the
wolf.
Noted doomster Marc Faber is once again predicting a 1987-style crash . He sees
parallels between stock gains in 2013 and that dicey year, adding that this
year's market gains are too dependent on a few companies.
While ZeroHedge thinks he may be on to something, others see a crying wolf,
given that Faber has made this prediction before. Schaeffer's Ryan
Detrick says that was 1987, this is now, when everyone is
protected from a wipeout.
Just in case of taper pullback-inspired jitters later this year, though,
dumping some sleepy dividend stocks wouldn't be a bad idea, says Jeff Reeves . Taper is better explained by
Merle Hazard in soon-to-be runaway hit, 'The Great Unwind.' And good ideas?
How about chaos and innovation that's about to hit
the marketplace and shake up stocks.
Among other predators, Berkshire Hathaway's Warren Buffett told
The Wall Street Journal that he expects to
do more bite-size deals, after acquiring more than a dozen small companies
in the first half of this year. But his first and true love doesn't change:
"A big deal still is what causes my heart to beat faster,"
says the Sage.
Awwwwww.
Key market gauges: Data from China gave stocks there a
lift, but most major indexes finished the week deep in the red, led by a
5.9% loss for the Nikkei . Europe stocks were up for a second
day as miners applauded Chinese data.
Futures for the S&P 500 , Dow industrials and Nasdaq 100 are
pointing south. Analysts say it's looking like a sideways summer Friday.
The economy: Almost nada from the U.S. on Friday, except
for June wholesale inventories, and it's hard to wax lyrical about that.
Instead, the big news is out of China. Industrial production there grew at
the fastest pace since February -- beating forecasts -- although retail
sales grew a bit slower. Miners, at least were happy about it in
London. Read more
The buzz: Dell redux? Blackberry
shares are up over 10% on talk it may consider going private . Reuters
cites sources close to the company that say the board is having a
change of heart and thinks maybe that would be a way to sort out some of
handset maker's problems out of the public eye.
Priceline.com shares are up over 5% in premarket trade after earnings and revenue beat Street
forecasts a day prior. Please, Captain , not in front of the
Klingons.
Oh and as shares get close to $1,000, Slope of Hope says short Priceline
at your peril.
Mexican telecom firm America Movil is bidding 2.40 euros a share
($3.21) a share for Dutch phone group Royal KPN . KPN shares jumped
18% on the news.
Rackspace Hosting shares could get a premarket boost. The
cloud-computing provider also beat Street forecasts for earnings and sales.
Monster Beverage may get dinged in premarket trading after the energy
drink posted a profit fall on higher costs.
Troubled retailer J.C. Penney just can't stay out of the news. Shares
are off close to 4% after J.C. Penney's chairman ripped hedge-fund
manager Bill Ackman after markets closed for making public a letter about a CEO
search.
Chart of the day: Some good news as far as economic growth is
concerned. Pragmatic Investor's Cullen
Roche notes that rail traffic looks to have stabilized, with
July a record month for carloads and a 4.8% year-over-year jump. The
12-week average is now up to 2.5%, off the lows of 1.6% from early June.
The chart below tells the story. Movement above zero indicates expansion,
below zero shows contraction.
Call
of the day: From Bank of America Merrill
Lynch comes '12 Long Charts.' That is where chief investment strategist
Michael Hartnett and his team are placing their bets on the view that the
fate of asset prices lies with the ability of policy makers to finally
deliver above-trend growth in the U.S., U.K., Europe and Japan. Hartnett
and co. e say they expect growth will pick up to the benefit of equities
versus bonds and they like bank stocks, Europe and Japan to play the
ongoing Great Rotation:
Zeroing in on the bet over the financial sector, which hasn't been flying
high -- around 45% below its all-time high set in February 2007 -- Hartnett
has this to say:
"We continue to view the bank stocks as the best barometer of the
Great Rotation. Rising bank stocks and rising rates is bullish; rising
rates and falling bank stocks is bearish. With the former more in evidence
in recent quarters, we are willing to give stocks the benefit of
doubt."
On that
note, David Weidner says 'Goldman Sachs ,
we hardly know you.'
Random reads: U.S. diplomats evacuated in Pakistan .
Picture this: Buffett in an Elvis costume.
Uh, oh: NSA 'whistleblower' Snowden's email provider is down, leaving this ominous note .
Celebrity perfumes. We prefer to smell anonymous now it seems.
Tumblr founder David Karp will get $81 million as long as he doesn't
quit in the next four years.
How often do you see remorseful thieves. Heartwarming.
A Pakistani businessman kidnapped over his
'stash'.
Clocking in as usual. NJ workers win a share of the $448
million Powerball and show up for work the next morning.
(Note, an earlier version of this blog misspelled Warren Buffett's name.)
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