It’s about to get harder to buy a home
Why getting a mortgage will be trickier and costlier in 2014
Consumers shopping for a home might want to
pick up the pace: Getting a mortgage will likely become more challenging and
costly next year.
Loan limits for popular mortgages are
scheduled to drop in January, according to a Wall Street Journal report this
week. The Federal Housing Finance Agency is planning to slash the maximum size
of mortgages eligible to be backed by Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac, which currently run as high as $417,000 in most
parts of the country and up to $625,500 in pricier cities, including New York
and San Francisco. That same month, new mortgage rules by the Consumer Financial
Protection Bureau go into effect, which restrict the types of mortgages lenders
can provide. The changes could leave next year’s mortgage applicants with fewer
and more expensive financing options to choose from than what’s currently
available, experts say. “If you’re comfortable with what you can get this year,
lock it in,” says John Vogel, adjunct professor of real estate at the Tuck
School of Business at Dartmouth
College. “Most rules that will come are in fact going to be less
favorable to borrowers.”
Andy Dean Photography / Shutterstock.com
This all comes as the government tries to reduce its role
in the mortgage market. During the second quarter, two out of three mortgages
were funded by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to Inside Mortgage Finance,
a trade publication. By lowering the loan sizes backed by these agencies,
regulators are hoping that lenders will step in to pick up the mortgage
applicants who are impacted and that a private market for purchasing these loans
— which basically disappeared in 2008 — will reopen. There has been some growth
in private mortgage financing recently, though it remains small compared with
pre-recession advances in the space. Just 2.1% of mortgages originated in April
were sold to private investors, while roughly 90% were purchased by government
agencies, according to Lender Processing Services, a mortgage-data tracking
firm.
But lower loan sizes could shut some applicants out. The
FHFA hasn’t announced how much Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s cap will drop, but
their larger-size mortgages are commonly used by home buyers in cities with
expensive real estate. These buyers often have relatively small down payments
and few assets. In contrast, most private mortgages are currently being given to
wealthy borrowers who have hefty down payments for multi-million-dollar homes.
It’s unclear whether the market will open up to lower net worth borrowers who
suddenly fall below government-backed loan thresholds, and if it does, what
rates they’ll be charged. Complicating matters, new CFPB mortgage rules set to
go into effect in January could limit the kinds of loans available in the
private mortgage market. Also see: Is it too easy to get a mortgage?
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Would-be home buyers who are planning to get a mortgage
that’s close to the Fannie and Freddie caps might want to consider getting the
loan before the year ends. An FHFA spokesperson says that the agency will
announce any changes “with adequate advance notice.”
Once these changes take effect, borrowers who no longer
qualify for Fannie and Freddie mortgages could face the following setbacks.
Harder to find a mortgage
Most applicants who get shut out of Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac loans will have to turn to the private market. Private lenders, include many
banks, credit unions and independent mortgage lenders, originate mortgages under
their own terms and in most cases hold the loans on their books. Most are very
selective, seeking out affluent borrowers who present little risk of default.
“The concern will now be for less well-qualified borrowers who [will] fall above
the loan size limitations,” says Stuart Gabriel, director of the Ziman Center
for Real Estate at the University
of California, Los Angeles.
Borrowers could also have a difficult time qualifying for
a private mortgage since many lenders require at least 25% to 30% down. With
Fannie and Freddie mortgages, borrowers can put down 20%; smaller down payments
are accepted, but borrowers must pay mortgage insurance.
Adjustable rates as the only option
Applicants who qualify for private mortgages could find
that adjustable-rate home loans are their only option. Tom Wind, executive vice
president of residential and consumer lending at national lender EverBank, says
many lenders who keep these loans on their books are more interested in offering
ARMs than fixed-rate mortgages. When the Federal Reserve raises rates, banks
will have to increase the rates they pay out on deposit accounts, but they’ll
receive larger interest payments from ARM borrowers whose rates reset at that
time and will likely be higher then.
With ARMs, borrowers have a fixed rate for a set period
of time – often five years – before rates become variable. ARM origination in
the private market is already on the rise: They accounted for 27.3% of mortgages
originated and sold to private investors in June, up from 23.2% in the beginning
of the year, according to LPS.
Federal officials are preparing to reduce the maximum size of home-mortgage loans eligible for backing by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a move that is likely to face resistance from some lawmakers and the real estate industry. Nick Timiraos reports. Photo: AP.
Higher interest
rates
Private mortgages tend to charge higher interest rates
than Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac-backed loans. But increased lender appetite for
private mortgages has helped lower their rates, which are hovering near and in
some cases lower than rates on government-backed mortgages. (Historically,
private mortgages had higher rates.)
It’s unclear whether rates will rise if more borrowers
enter this market. While an increase in demand could cause rates to move higher,
the opposite could occur if the secondary mortgage market takes off, says Stu
Feldstein, president at mortgage-research firm SMR Research.
Fewer choices in the private market
Though small in number, some lenders have been offering
low-income documentation mortgages and interest-only mortgages to affluent
borrowers and holding those loans on their books. The CFPB’s new mortgage rules
that kick in next year will offer more protection from lawsuits to lenders who
avoid these mortgages. Lenders who want this legal protection also won’t be able
to approve borrowers for mortgages if their total monthly debt is over 43% of
their monthly pre-tax income. These changes could result in fewer loan options
at the same time that more borrowers enter this space.
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