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Need to Know
SEPTEMBER 11, 2013
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5 gut checks before the stock
market's opening bell
By Shawn Langlois
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Thomas Hoepker/Magnum Photos
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President
Barack Obama called off the attack dogs, and the stock market has been
bouncing around like an egg ever since. Shouldn't John
Lennon be strumming away in the background as investors
celebrate the Putin-peace party by loading up on stocks?
Regardless, it's time to press pause on Syria, for now, and move toward the
next potential spanner in the bull works -- the onset of the taper. The
prospects of a missile strike, if nothing else, has provided a nice respite
from the Fed stuff. But the break is almost over, with next week's meeting
hurtling into prominence.
As it stands this morning, the stock market (outside of techs) appears to
be nonplussed by all the noise, like those New Yorkers in this famous photo
taken 12 years ago today. But pictures, and premarket quotes, can be deceiving .
Key market gauges: Asia stocks closed mostly mixed,
while Australia danced around five-year highs, helped of late by
a string of consistently upbeat economic data from China, the main consumer
of the country's natural resources. Europe isn't showing much upside,
while futures on the Nasdaq 100 the Dow and the S&P are
barely budging.
The dovish tone struck by President Barack Obama in his televised speech
Tuesday night isn't doing much to the price of gold , which is mostly flat.
A day earlier, gold prices gave up more than $20 an ounce , their
biggest hit since July 5, amid the uncertainty surrounding a U.S. strike on
Syria. UBS says gold could be in for a rough go of it if the Fed moves to taper next week. And
Goldman said much of the same on Wednesday. Goldman
also had something to say about oil prices.
The buzz:Apple is in the spotlight, and not a good one, after
the company unveiled two new iPhones , one to join the high-end
stable and one affordable model. After that, Apple apparently showed the footage of the big unveiling
to a receptive crowd in Beijing, where the down market iPhone 5c will be offered for only $549 . The
average Beijing local only needs to work about three weeks to afford one.
Shares are down in premarket and at least three investment banks have
downgraded the iPhone king.
Here's the newly Microsofted Nokia taking a few -- and getting hit by
many more -- Twitter jabs during Apple's presentation.
Restoration Hardware is poised to be one of the stock market's big
losers once the opening bell sounds after its earnings report drew plenty of
sellers in yesterday's late session. Coldwater Creek is getting
smacked around even harder in the wake of its disappointing quarterly release .
Hedge fund creep? A regulatory filing on Tuesda y revealed
that hedge fund Southeastern Asset Management has taken a nearly 12% voting
stake in News Corp. . Bloomberg points out that Southeastern now holds a
stake only bested by News Corp. Chairman Rupert Murdoch. Southeastern is
best known for teaming up with Carl Ichan to block a buyout bid to take
Dell private, an effort they abandoned Monday. Why, is the question.
Elizabeth Knight at the Sydney Morning Herald offers up one theory . News Corp is the owner
of MarketWatch, the publisher of this report.
The whole Dow shakeup is the top story on Google's business page, with
investors mulling what getting dropped from the blue-chip index means for
Alcoa , Hewlett-Packard and Bank of America .
Check out this roundup of all the action at the
Frankfurt Motor Show.
The chart of the day: Netflix managed to hit an all-time high in Tuesday's
session, retaking its peak from more than two years ago. And,
according to TheOptionDon on StockTwits ,
"breaking out of this trend channel will send this stock into
parabolic mode." Next stop,$400 a share, he predicts.
The
call of the day: The U.S., Germany and Japan may
appear to be the most attractive markets to splash your cash,
says Yves Lamoureux, president of market advisory firm Lamoureux
& Co. , but China is the place to be. He's got an investment
in Morgan Stanley's China A Share Fund locked down "for the next
several years." Why? Because he sees Chinese stocks rallying 300% over
the next few years. "Asset allocators show a huge gap in Asian
representations," he said. "We feel that managers will work hard
until year end to re-balance their positions."
Lamoureux calls China one of the best contrarian investment opportunities
he's seen in years. "We hope people don't miss it because
they've been brainwashed into thinking that market had little to
offer," he said. Follow Yves on Twitter .
Random reads: Neil Young, my personal all-time favorite,
compares Fort McMurray, Alberta and its nearby oil
sands to Hiroshima . The real fun is taking place in the
comments section, where one guy calls him "a lying piece of
garbage."
A look inside Mexico's Narco War Museum . Now you don't
have to go yourself.
Own a piece of Wayne Newton's legacy . For $70 million.
Entry level, one-bedroom, sub-1000 square foot London apartment gets
repossessed. Oh, and it's valued at more than $8 million .
Signs of life in the icy depths of the Antarctic
could offer clues, not only about Earth, but also for the potential of life
on other planets.
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