Trulia: Asking Prices Accelerate in Least Affordable Housing
Markets
06/07/2013 By: Esther
Cho
Asking prices are rising at an especially fast pace in the least affordable
housing markets, according to
Trulia.
Nationally, asking prices increased 9.5 percent year-over-year in May, but in
the ten least affordable metros, asking prices spiked 16.3 percent during the
same time period.
Trulia also found out of the 100 largest metros, 98 saw asking prices
increase over the last year.
Among the least affordable markets, seven were in California. Honolulu was
found to be the least affordable metro, where 74 percent of monthly household
income is used to pay a mortgage. In San Francisco, households spend 55 percent
of their monthly wages on their mortgage. In the 10 least affordable markets,
households spent at least a third of their income towards their mortgage. The
calculation assumed a 3.8 percent interest rate on a home that is 1800 square
feet.
In Oakland California, which ranked as the seventh most unaffordable market,
asking prices surged 31.2 percent year-over-year in May. On the other hand, Long
Island, which followed at No. 8, saw asking prices rise by just 1.1 percent over
the last year. Overall, eight of the least affordable markets saw asking prices
increase at a faster rate than the national average.
Among the 10 most affordable metros, asking prices averaged the same rate as
the national rate at 9.5 percent. Detroit ranked as the most affordable metro,
where just 8 percent of household income is used to pay a mortgage. Detroit,
along with Atlanta, Memphis, Fort Worth, and Dallas, all saw year-over-year
double-digit gains in asking prices, but they were still among the most
affordable metros.
Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist, gave two reasons for why the gap in
affordability matters.
For one, it leads to a migration out of less affordable markets.
“[M]ore people in expensive markets like California will look to relocate to
cheaper markets like Texas when the time comes to buy,” he said.
He also added that the disparities in affordability make it more difficult to
come up with “one-size-fits-all” national housing policies as local markets
become more different from one another.
National rents were also up, but increased at a much slower annual rate,
rising by just 2.3 percent over the last year. Out of the least affordable
rental markets, rents are seeing strong yearly gains in Miami (+6.4 percent),
Boston (+5.5 percent), and San Diego (+5.1 percent), and New York (+3.7
percent).
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