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Friday’s bond market has opened flat as have the stock markets. There was
important economic data released this morning, but it appears the markets
are shrugging it off. The Dow is currently unchanged from yesterday’s close
while the Nasdaq is up 4 points. The bond market is nearly unchanged, which
should keep this morning’s mortgage rates very close to yesterday’s morning
pricing.
Yesterday’s 30-year Treasury Bond auction had similar results to
Wednesday’s 10-year Note sale. At best we can consider investor demand at
average but some indicators pointed towards weaker levels. Fortunately, the
impact on afternoon bond trading yesterday was relatively minimal. We saw
some selling that caused yields to rise immediately after but then they
improved before returning to where they were right before the results were
posted. The net effect on Thursday afternoon’s mortgage rates was minor.
November's Producer Price Index (PPI) was today’s only relevant economic
data. At 8:30 AM, the Labor Department announced a 0.1% decline in the
overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data. The core data is the more
important one because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices, but
both readings pegged forecasts. This data tracks inflationary pressures at
the producer level of the economy and today’s report shows that prices
remain subdued. That is technically good news for the bond market and
mortgage rates because rising inflation makes long-term securities such as
mortgage-related bonds less attractive to investors. However, since the
report showed no surprises, it is having very little impact on this
morning’s mortgage pricing.
Next week is a contrast to this week in terms of events scheduled that may
influence mortgage rates. There is relevant economic data set for each day
of the week and varies from minor to extremely important. There also is the
last FOMC meeting of the year, which will be followed by updated Fed economic
predictions and a press conference hosted by Fed Chairman Bernanke.
Monday’s data is moderately important with 3rd quarter worker productivity
data and November’s Industrial Production both due to be released. Look for
details on next week’s calendar in Sunday’s weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my
closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking
place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between
21 and 60 days... Lock if my closing was taking place over 60 days from
now...

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