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Financial Planner Recommendation: Buy Now While
Rates
are Low
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John Waggoner, an expert on personal
finance says:
“Investment opinions are like noses.
Everyone has one. Buy stocks, sell bonds? Go long on steel, short on copper?
Buy sheep, sell deer?”
They can argue for and against most
investment choices, but it’s pretty hard to argue against buying a house
right now. In the past, you could buy low and watch prices go lower, but
that’s not happening any more.
Supply is the big news. The number
of homes on the market is shrinking. Investors and early buyers have
snapped up the more inexpensive homes on the market. In prime areas,
the inventory of homes available for purchase is very low. Many homes, once
owner occupied, have been converted into rentals, decreasing supply even
further. In parts of California and Florida, homes remain on the market for
less than a month, or even weeks.
The median single-family home price —
half higher, half lower — hit its nadir in January, dropping to $154,600, the
lowest since October 2001, according to the National Association of Realtors.
That’s down from a high of $230,900 in July 2006.
Existing-home prices rose in June to a
median $190,100, up 8% from June 2011. Those are still 2003 levels.
The good news is that the enormous
supply on the market is shrinking. It takes a wearisome amount of time for
supply to shrink, in part because there are people who have been wanting to
sell their homes for many years, but haven’t been able to get the price they
want. As prices rise, more homes come on the market.
Nevertheless, Ned Davis Research, a
respected institutional research firm, estimates that excess supply of houses
on the market should be eliminated by the end of 2013. When excess supply
dries up, people start building more new houses, which has the virtuous
effect of reducing the unemployment rate and increasing the economy
generally.
Interestingly, mortgage rates remain
very low. The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage is about 3.6 percent,
says mortgage giant Freddie Mac. Assuming you finance 80 percent of the
median-priced $190,100 home, or $152,080, your basic mortgage payment would
be about $691. You can now get more living space for less than renting.
Before you spend time searching for a
home, check with your loan officer get to see how much of a loan you qualify
for.
Quoted in USA Today, Waggoner says there
are other risks with homeownership, ranging from termites to ghosts in the
hall closet. But if you’re planning to live in your home for a long time,
it’s a fine time to buy.
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